OUR VIEWS

NEWS

Market Outlook

HeaDstart 27-01-2012

BUY: UNTR, BUMI, ADRO, BBRI

  • Menguatnya kembali regional, komoditas serta rupiah dapat memberikan boost untuk IHSG naik diatas level psikologis 4.000 dan menutup secara mingguan (Jumat) diatas level tersebut, sesuatu yang secara technical sangat ditunggu oleh pelaku pasar.

  • IHSG close (26-01) 3.983.21 (+28.07/+0.58%) (Val.Rp.3.5T)
  • Support: 3.930-3.875-3,790 Resistance:.4.050-4.125

 

 

Stock picks

1.     United Tractors   (UNTR) (BUY) (Target. Rp.28.850)  (Close 26/01 Rp.27.850)

  • Koreksi untuk menutup price gap bawah di Rp.27.700 di emitten anak perusahaan Astra yang bergerak di bidang penjualan dan servis alat berat serta diversifikasi ke tambang batubara (Unit Pama) hanya proses kontinuasi biasa dalam tren naik, rekomen akumulasi untuk trading jangka pendek.

  • Entry (1) Rp.27.800, Entry (2) Rp.27.500, Cut loss point: Rp.27.150

 

 

 

2.    Bumi Resources  (BUMI)  (BUY): (Target: Rp.2.700) (Close 26/01 Rp.2.525)

  • Emitten batubara ini sangat diuntungkan dari penguatan rupiah yang mengurangi beban biaya hutang US$, dan naiknya harga minyak (imbas ke bautabar) karena presentase exposure export yang cukup tinggi dari total kontrak outstanding kedepan (60%)

  • Entry (1) Rp.2.500, Entry (2) Rp.2.400,  Cut loss point: Rp.2.325

 

 

 

3.     Adaro Energy (ADRO)  (BUY) : (Target Rp.1.925)  (Close 26/01: Rp.1.840)

  • Selain BUMI, emitten batubara lainnya yang fokus terhadap export adalah ADRO, secara technincal membentuk channel uptrend sustainable yang dapat mengetes resistance di Rp.1.870 & 1.925 dengan misi utama jangka menengah untuk bermain diatas level psikologis Rp.2.000 sekaligus naik kelas ke fraski Rp.25.

  • Entry: (1) Rp.1.840, Entry (2) Rp.1.800,  Cut loss point Rp.1.725

 

 

 

4.    Bank BRI  (BBRI)  (BUY): (Target: Rp.7.250) (Close 26/01 Rp.7.000) 

  • Pasca  proses koreksi minor biasa dalam formasi uptrend, emitten perbankan BUMN dengan mix mikro UKM retail dan sangat sensitive terhadap pergerakan rupiah karena mempnunyai basis pinjaman dalam bonds RI, kelihatannya dapat melanjutkan rebound kembali yang tertunda.

  • Entry: (1) Rp.7.000, Entry (2) Rp.6.850, Cut loss point: Rp.6.750

 

Yuganur Wijanarko

Senior Research (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

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