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Monthly Strategy-Sept (21-09-2011) (BUY): “Koreksi membuka kesempatan beli di IHSG"

Monthly Strategy-Sept (21-09-2011) (BUY):   "Koreksi membuat kesempatan beli"

  • September ceria menjadi kelabu: Koreksi IHSG ke level 3.500-3.337 membuka kesempatan untuk trading buy untuk potensi rebound ke 3.700. 


  • Valuasi perlu disesuakan: Walaupun fundamental economic indo bagus, namun valuasi PER relative ke regional tidak murah sehingga harga saham harus turun untuk adjust valuasi kedepan.

  • Regional: Uncerntainty di Eropa, risk aversion membawa tekanan jual di IHSG dan melemahkan rupiah, yang terakhir akan membuat analis revise down proyeksi earnings dan price target IHSG.
  • Domestic: Suku bunga rendah untuk bosst domestic GDP dan naiknya US$ akan membuat imported inflation sehingga semakin memancing capital outflow.

 

  • Rekomendasi Portofolio & Target Price 1-bulan:

 

Ticker

TP 1 bln

PER11F

PBV11F

ROE11F

ASII

Rp.63.000

15x

4x

26%

CPIN

Rp.2.650

17x

8x

49%

ADMG

Rp.650

6x

2x

33%

BBRI

Rp.6.050

11x

4x

32%

BMRI

Rp.6.150

13x

3x

25%

BJBR

Rp.1.020

9x

2x

21%

BBCA

Rp.8.000

20x

5x

26%

 

 

 

 

 

Yuganur Wijanarko

 

Senior Research.

 

(Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

 

 

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